TL;DR
- Lemonade halves the Tesla premium per mile driven with FSD Supervised, starting in Missouri.
- The insurer measures who is driving, the human or the AI driver assist, using Tesla vehicle data. No dongle.
- The Netherlands already tried this idea in 2013, but then it was about driver behaviour, not driving mode.
- FSD Supervised is not a robotaxi. The driver stays responsible, the Dutch RDW says so too.
- Tesla's safety claim is contested. Reuters found comparisons that make the figures look too rosy.
A Tesla driving on the motorway with Full Self-Driving Supervised switched on now gets a 50 percent discount on car insurance. Not in the Netherlands. In America, in the state of Missouri to be precise.
Lemonade, an American insurtech insurer, launched Autonomous Car there in early September. Tesla drivers who choose Full Self-Driving Supervised pay half the normal rate for every mile in which that system is active. Miles they drive themselves are billed at the ordinary price.
You could see this as a marketing stunt by Lemonade or Tesla. I mainly see an insurer answering the question: is driving with AI driver assistance safer than driving by humans?
Lemonade says yes. Tesla shares vehicle data with the insurer, so Lemonade can tell FSD Supervised miles apart from miles in which the driver was in control. That one distinction changes how you look at car insurance.
What is Lemonade's FSD discount on Tesla insurance?
Lemonade gives Tesla drivers 50 percent off every mile driven with FSD Supervised. The insurer reads from Tesla's vehicle data who performed the driving task, the human or the AI driver assist, and charges a different rate per mile. AI driver assistance becomes a pricing factor, just like a no-claims bonus.
Car insurance still mostly works with averages. Your age, postcode, no-claims years, type of car and annual mileage set the premium. That gives a usable estimate, it just tells you little about how you drive through rain on a Tuesday morning, or how you react when someone changes lanes without indicating.
Two people with the same Tesla, age and postcode can drive very differently. One leaves enough space. The other brakes only when the car in front already fills the windscreen. In the classic pricing model they largely pay for the same risk profile.
Lemonade tries to shrink that gap by looking at how the car is actually used. The insurer also does not wait until year-end to see whether a claim was filed, because the premium changes as soon as the Tesla switches driving mode.
Usage-based car insurance: the Netherlands already tried this in 2013
The idea behind Lemonade is hardly new in the Netherlands. Since around 2013, insurers and underwriting agents have tried to link premiums to driving behaviour. Kroodle from Aegon, Fairzekering, MyJini from AllSecur, ChipWise from Voogd, VOOROP from RISK, Whoosz! from Turien & Co and Generali Rij Bewust were part of that first wave.
The promise was always attractive. Drive safely, let the data show it, pay less. Many products used a dongle, a box in the car that logged speed, braking, acceleration and cornering. That model still exists, for example at ANWB Veilig Rijden (opens in a new window) (opens in new window).
Practice showed how hard that model was. The boxes cost money, could fail technically and were sometimes easy to unplug. That was exactly when the trip the insurer most wanted to measure disappeared: a quiet commute produced data, a risky weekend trip sometimes did not.
Customers also had to do a lot for a discount that often only showed up later. Install a box, understand a score, then wait to see what it did to the premium. For many people that was too much hassle.
The difference with Lemonade is the source of the data. The earlier Dutch products tried to measure the driver's behaviour. Lemonade first measures who performed the driving task: the human or the AI driver assist.
Tesla supplies those data from the car. That removes the extra box, and an app no longer has to guess whether you were behind the wheel or riding as a passenger. The customer notices none of that technology and is left with a simple question: how much discount do I get this month?
What is Tesla FSD Supervised, and does it drive itself?
The name Full Self-Driving needs a nuance Tesla itself sometimes puts less emphasis on. FSD Supervised remains a driver assistance system in which the driver still takes part in traffic.
The driver must pay attention, stay responsible and be able to intervene. The car steers, brakes and accelerates, but the driver carries the legal responsibility. Opening a book or catching up on email remains a very bad idea, and of course illegal.
The RDW therefore describes FSD Supervised as an advanced driver assistance system. Tesla drivers can use the system in the Netherlands, but the driver must actively take part in traffic, according to the RDW (opens in a new window) (opens in new window).
That is exactly why Lemonade's choice is interesting. The insurer is not waiting for robotaxis without a driver. It prices a system that still keeps the driver supervising the road, and that, according to Lemonade, produces less claims risk.
That is a much more sober route than waiting until cars can drive themselves flawlessly in every condition, because that bar is still a long way off. It is also striking how we look at this. We accept that humans can cause damage with serious consequences, but when the car is on autopilot it is allowed zero mistakes. Rather crooked.
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Does Tesla's safety claim about FSD hold up?
Tesla claims that driving with FSD Supervised is safer. But does that claim hold? A Reuters investigation at the end of May found that Tesla boss Elon Musk and other executives had, over the past year, increasingly cited statistics that they say prove FSD Supervised is up to ten times safer than human drivers. Reuters showed those statistics were based on invalid data comparisons, making the company's safety claims about three times too rosy, Electrek (opens in a new window) (opens in new window) summarised.
In June a second Reuters piece followed: Tesla had presented those same inflated figures to the RDW and Swedish supervisors during the European approval process, BNR (opens in a new window) (opens in new window) reported.
Could Tesla insurance with an FSD discount also work in the Netherlands?
Yes. In theory a Dutch insurer could take exactly the same step.
In April 2026 the RDW granted type approval for Tesla FSD Supervised in the Netherlands. For now that approval applies only here. For use across the European Union the European Commission still has to complete a procedure, with a vote by the member states.
So an insurer can discount miles that are demonstrably driven with FSD Supervised. The real question is whether it can substantiate that discount.
Tesla and Lemonade say their data show fewer accidents on FSD miles. Reuters (opens in a new window) (opens in new window) reported in January that Tesla shares vehicle data with Lemonade to distinguish FSD miles from human miles.
What data does the insurer get, and does the customer trust that?
Technology is probably not the biggest hurdle. Modern cars already collect huge amounts of data, and insurers have long used data for underwriting, pricing and fraud. I wrote earlier about how slowly insurers move when AI touches their own product, for example with professional indemnity insurance and cyber insurance. With car insurance the data is already there.
Trust is harder. As a customer you want to know which data the insurer receives, how long it keeps them, and what happens when you switch the driver assist off. A discount should feel like a reward for demonstrably lower risk. If customers experience it as a surcharge for driving themselves, they drop out quickly.
In 2021 the AFM pointed to the opportunities and risks of personalised premiums. More data can make a premium fit the risk better. That same data can also lead to unclear price differences, privacy questions and the exclusion of customers with an unfavourable profile, the AFM (opens in a new window) (opens in new window) writes.
That is why an insurer has to explain this completely clearly. Which data does it use? Which behaviour earns a discount? Can the customer see their own data? And what happens when the data are missing?
The Dutch market has learned that a technically clever model is worth little if the customer does not understand what they get in return.
Which car brands could follow Tesla?
Tesla is the first logical candidate. The car records when FSD Supervised is active and can pass those data on. But the underlying model goes well beyond Tesla.
Any carmaker that reliably records when an approved driver assistance system is supporting the driving task could become part of this kind of pricing. The car then becomes a data source that is more precise than a questionnaire at the point of sale.
That changes the discussion about car insurance. Age, postcode and no-claims years do not vanish overnight. A much more direct factor is added: how the car was driven, and which technology helped.
Lemonade thereby gives a first, striking answer to a question Dutch insurers already asked. Only now the technology is far less cumbersome, and the reward is visible at once.
Whoever dares to take this step first in the Netherlands mainly has to make sure the data are right and the explanation is even better. Then a customer pays less because they demonstrably cause less risk, and the badge on the car no longer matters.
Sources
- Lemonade on the Missouri launch (opens in a new window) (opens in new window)
- Reuters on the collaboration between Lemonade and Tesla (opens in a new window) (opens in new window)
- Electrek on the Reuters investigation into Tesla's safety figures (opens in a new window) (opens in new window)
- BNR on misleading safety data given to European supervisors (opens in a new window) (opens in new window)
- RDW on Dutch approval of Tesla FSD Supervised (opens in a new window) (opens in new window)
- ANWB on Veilig Rijden (opens in a new window) (opens in new window)
- AFM on personalised premiums and terms (opens in a new window) (opens in new window)
